Oscar Winners Forecast

Here's how I would rank the likelihood of the following films or people winning on Oscar Night.

Best Picture
1. The Departed
2. Little Miss Sunshine
3. Babel
4. Letters from Iwo Jima
5. The Queen

Best Director
1. Martin Scorsese, The Departed
2. Clint Eastwood, Letters from Iwo Jima
3. Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu, Babel
4. Stephen Frears, The Queen
5. Paul Greengrass, United 93

Best Actor
1. Forest Whitaker, The Last King of Scotland
2. Peter O'Toole, Venus
3. Leonard DiCaprio, Blood Diamond
4. Will Smith, The Pursuit of Happyness
5. Ryan Gosling, Half Nelson

Best Actress
1. Helen Mirren, The Queen
2. Kate Winslet, Little Children
3. Judi Dench, Notes on a Scandal
4. Meryl Streep, The Devil Wears Prada
5. Penelope Cruz, Volver

Best Supporting Actor
1. Eddie Murphy, Dreamgirls
2. Alan Arkin, Little Miss Sunshine
3. Mark Wahlberg, The Departed
4. Jackie Earle Haley, Little Children
5. Djimon Hounsou, Blood Diamond

Best Supporting Actress
1. Jennifer Hudson, Dreamgirls
2. Abigail Breslin, Little Miss Sunshine
3. Cate Blanchett, Notes on a Scandal
4. Rinko Kikuchi, Babel
5. Adriana Barraza, Babel

Best Original Screenplay
1. Little Miss Sunshine
2. The Queen
3. Babel
4. Letters from Iwo Jima
5. Pan's Labyrinth

Best Adapted Screenplay
1. The Departed
2. Borat
3. Children of Men
4. Little Children
5. Notes on a Scandal